Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 7.606752 8.893961 10.304597 11.961459 13.850267 15.932334 18.397007
2026-02-01 5.243191 6.919516 8.954571 11.588847 14.888331 18.862527 23.987427
2026-02-08 3.820163 5.566999 7.870400 11.090018 15.426915 21.013049 28.689359
2026-02-15 2.926711 4.646436 7.079895 10.707515 15.895721 22.951602 33.152506
2026-02-22 2.480050 4.236192 6.873919 11.022593 17.254948 26.112045 39.447840
2026-03-01 2.145971 3.917938 6.726489 11.359687 18.627185 29.357851 46.089416
2026-03-08 1.745978 3.409732 6.192802 11.006013 18.881859 30.949378 50.407597
2026-03-15 1.447735 3.014128 5.770760 10.752460 19.227371 32.658414 54.982293
2026-03-22 1.327260 2.916471 5.834506 11.303204 20.907955 36.552668 63.200235
2026-03-29 1.198984 2.778549 5.801870 11.671241 22.300477 40.072813 71.055199
2026-04-05 1.047267 2.563950 5.593082 11.687994 23.071335 42.608512 77.461704
2026-04-12 0.909003 2.350512 5.353087 11.609927 23.650728 44.843353 83.493946
2026-04-19 0.754679 2.081041 4.982508 11.278119 23.815551 46.522430 88.979791
2026-04-26 0.626750 1.846533 4.651561 10.991327 24.056177 48.398738 95.045811
2026-05-03 0.508666 1.606164 4.264137 10.528127 23.893261 49.516848 99.840458
2026-05-10 0.418060 1.413096 3.947427 10.165315 23.878847 50.890303 105.179352
2026-05-17 0.377917 1.350379 3.930139 10.466725 25.267235 55.047335 115.995213
2026-05-24 0.343548 1.295778 3.923130 10.788832 26.727951 59.451114 127.573320
2026-05-31 0.285518 1.150981 3.656125 10.451004 26.705442 60.885842 133.493914
2026-06-07 0.240472 1.034497 3.441870 10.208835 26.863875 62.688391 140.246555
2026-06-14 0.227255 1.024885 3.525214 10.734897 28.841369 68.414565 155.237592
2026-06-21 0.209560 0.993961 3.541347 11.086515 30.440199 73.448795 169.123646
2026-06-28 0.184528 0.927217 3.437901 11.102522 31.232990 76.804046 179.746888